Faster ocean warming threatens richest areas of marine biodiversity

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  • Stuart C. Brown
  • Camille Mellin
  • Jorge García Molinos
  • Lorenzen, Eline
  • Damien A. Fordham

The vulnerability of marine biodiversity to accelerated rates of climatic change is poorly understood. By developing a new method for identifying extreme oceanic warming events during Earth's most recent deglaciation, and comparing these to 21st century projections, we show that future rates of ocean warming will disproportionately affect the most speciose marine communities, potentially threatening biodiversity in more than 70% of current-day global hotspots of marine species richness. The persistence of these richest areas of marine biodiversity will require many species to move well beyond the biogeographic realm where they are endemic, at rates of redistribution not previously seen. Our approach for quantifying exposure of biodiversity to past and future rates of oceanic warming provides new context and scalable information for deriving and strengthening conservation actions to safeguard marine biodiversity under climate change.

Original languageEnglish
JournalGlobal Change Biology
Volume28
Issue number19
Pages (from-to)5849-5858
Number of pages10
ISSN1354-1013
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2022

Bibliographical note

Publisher Copyright:
© 2022 The Authors. Global Change Biology published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

    Research areas

  • biogeography, climate analogues, climate change vulnerability, climate stability, climate velocity, conservation management, coral reef, marine biodiversity loss

ID: 316053868