Mechanistic models project bird invasions with accuracy

Research output: Contribution to journal › Journal article › Research › peer-review

Standard

Mechanistic models project bird invasions with accuracy. / Strubbe, Diederik; Jimenez, Laura; Márcia Barbosa, A.; Davis, Amy J. S.; Lens, Luc; Rahbek, Carsten.

In: Nature Communications, Vol. 14, 2520, 2023.

Research output: Contribution to journal › Journal article › Research › peer-review

Harvard

Strubbe, D, Jimenez, L, Márcia Barbosa, A, Davis, AJS, Lens, L & Rahbek, C 2023, 'Mechanistic models project bird invasions with accuracy', Nature Communications, vol. 14, 2520. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-38329-4

APA

Strubbe, D., Jimenez, L., Márcia Barbosa, A., Davis, A. J. S., Lens, L., & Rahbek, C. (2023). Mechanistic models project bird invasions with accuracy. Nature Communications, 14, [2520]. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-38329-4

Vancouver

Strubbe D, Jimenez L, Márcia Barbosa A, Davis AJS, Lens L, Rahbek C. Mechanistic models project bird invasions with accuracy. Nature Communications. 2023;14. 2520. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-38329-4

Author

Strubbe, Diederik ; Jimenez, Laura ; Márcia Barbosa, A. ; Davis, Amy J. S. ; Lens, Luc ; Rahbek, Carsten. / Mechanistic models project bird invasions with accuracy. In: Nature Communications. 2023 ; Vol. 14.

Bibtex

@article{3201f43986944ab7899bc80475dd9fba,
title = "Mechanistic models project bird invasions with accuracy",
abstract = "Invasive species pose a major threat to biodiversity and inflict massive economic costs. Effective management of bio-invasions depends on reliable predictions of areas at risk of invasion, as they allow early invader detection and rapid responses. Yet, considerable uncertainty remains as to how to predict best potential invasive distribution ranges. Using a set of mainly (sub)tropical birds introduced to Europe, we show that the true extent of the geographical area at risk of invasion can accurately be determined by using ecophysiological mechanistic models that quantify species{\textquoteright} fundamental thermal niches. Potential invasive ranges are primarily constrained by functional traits related to body allometry and body temperature, metabolic rates, and feather insulation. Given their capacity to identify tolerable climates outside of contemporary realized species niches, mechanistic predictions are well suited for informing effective policy and management aimed at preventing the escalating impacts of invasive species.",
author = "Diederik Strubbe and Laura Jimenez and {M{\'a}rcia Barbosa}, A. and Davis, {Amy J. S.} and Luc Lens and Carsten Rahbek",
year = "2023",
doi = "10.1038/s41467-023-38329-4",
language = "English",
volume = "14",
journal = "Nature Communications",
issn = "2041-1723",
publisher = "nature publishing group",

}

RIS

TY - JOUR

T1 - Mechanistic models project bird invasions with accuracy

AU - Strubbe, Diederik

AU - Jimenez, Laura

AU - Márcia Barbosa, A.

AU - Davis, Amy J. S.

AU - Lens, Luc

AU - Rahbek, Carsten

PY - 2023

Y1 - 2023

N2 - Invasive species pose a major threat to biodiversity and inflict massive economic costs. Effective management of bio-invasions depends on reliable predictions of areas at risk of invasion, as they allow early invader detection and rapid responses. Yet, considerable uncertainty remains as to how to predict best potential invasive distribution ranges. Using a set of mainly (sub)tropical birds introduced to Europe, we show that the true extent of the geographical area at risk of invasion can accurately be determined by using ecophysiological mechanistic models that quantify species’ fundamental thermal niches. Potential invasive ranges are primarily constrained by functional traits related to body allometry and body temperature, metabolic rates, and feather insulation. Given their capacity to identify tolerable climates outside of contemporary realized species niches, mechanistic predictions are well suited for informing effective policy and management aimed at preventing the escalating impacts of invasive species.

AB - Invasive species pose a major threat to biodiversity and inflict massive economic costs. Effective management of bio-invasions depends on reliable predictions of areas at risk of invasion, as they allow early invader detection and rapid responses. Yet, considerable uncertainty remains as to how to predict best potential invasive distribution ranges. Using a set of mainly (sub)tropical birds introduced to Europe, we show that the true extent of the geographical area at risk of invasion can accurately be determined by using ecophysiological mechanistic models that quantify species’ fundamental thermal niches. Potential invasive ranges are primarily constrained by functional traits related to body allometry and body temperature, metabolic rates, and feather insulation. Given their capacity to identify tolerable climates outside of contemporary realized species niches, mechanistic predictions are well suited for informing effective policy and management aimed at preventing the escalating impacts of invasive species.

U2 - 10.1038/s41467-023-38329-4

DO - 10.1038/s41467-023-38329-4

M3 - Journal article

C2 - 37130835

VL - 14

JO - Nature Communications

JF - Nature Communications

SN - 2041-1723

M1 - 2520

ER -

ID: 346413359