Response to Kiełpińska and Kowalski: A stab in a self-imposed darkness
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Response to Kiełpińska and Kowalski : A stab in a self-imposed darkness. / Galatius, Anders; Teilmann, Jonas; Olsen, Morten Tange; van Beest, Floris M.
In: Ecological Indicators, Vol. 127, 107808, 2021.Research output: Contribution to journal › Comment/debate › Research › peer-review
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TY - JOUR
T1 - Response to Kiełpińska and Kowalski
T2 - A stab in a self-imposed darkness
AU - Galatius, Anders
AU - Teilmann, Jonas
AU - Olsen, Morten Tange
AU - van Beest, Floris M.
PY - 2021
Y1 - 2021
N2 - In a recent paper in Ecological Indicators, Kiełpińska and Kowalski (K&K) present a model aimed to facilitate culling of a large fraction of the Baltic grey seal population without sacrificing management aims with regard to distribution. Their paper and model include several flawed assumptions with regard to grey seal biology, particularly life history, population structure and movements. The actual modelling exercise is intransparent and there is no discussion or account for uncertainties or ecological complexities. K&K do not mention or review the existing literature on the outcomes of marine mammal culls or investigations of the role of grey seals in the Baltic Sea ecosystem, but state an imperative that aquatic top predators must be controlled. Ecosystem modelling has indicated that fisheries and a large grey seal population can coexist and that culling of marine top predators can have unpredictable and unintended effects. Given the flawed assumptions, lack of regard for uncertainty and complexity as well as the actual knowledge gaps, we suggest great caution in the use of K&K's model.
AB - In a recent paper in Ecological Indicators, Kiełpińska and Kowalski (K&K) present a model aimed to facilitate culling of a large fraction of the Baltic grey seal population without sacrificing management aims with regard to distribution. Their paper and model include several flawed assumptions with regard to grey seal biology, particularly life history, population structure and movements. The actual modelling exercise is intransparent and there is no discussion or account for uncertainties or ecological complexities. K&K do not mention or review the existing literature on the outcomes of marine mammal culls or investigations of the role of grey seals in the Baltic Sea ecosystem, but state an imperative that aquatic top predators must be controlled. Ecosystem modelling has indicated that fisheries and a large grey seal population can coexist and that culling of marine top predators can have unpredictable and unintended effects. Given the flawed assumptions, lack of regard for uncertainty and complexity as well as the actual knowledge gaps, we suggest great caution in the use of K&K's model.
KW - Baltic Sea
KW - Culling
KW - Grey seal
KW - Management
KW - Modelling
KW - Seals-fisheries conflicts
U2 - 10.1016/j.ecolind.2021.107808
DO - 10.1016/j.ecolind.2021.107808
M3 - Comment/debate
AN - SCOPUS:85105734472
VL - 127
JO - Ecological Indicators
JF - Ecological Indicators
SN - 1470-160X
M1 - 107808
ER -
ID: 272635930